You got this. Once you get your momentum going and get adjusted to new eating habits, it becomes easier and easier to shed the poundage.
Try not to think of calories in verses calories out. The body is way more complicated than that. And, besides, noone can accurately know the actual calories they burn. The body adjusts resting metabolic rates based on so many things.
Instead, focus on ways to restore insulin sensitivity. Although exercise may not burn a lot of calories, it has an immediate and delayed benefits on insulin sensitivity. While exercising, muscles uptake glucose without needing insulin’s “help” so during exercise the pancreas will tone down the insulin in response to falling blood glucose levels secondary to exercise-induced uptake. Exercise also seems to have delayed effects throughout the day in regards to insulin sensitivity. Exercise also helps “spend” some of the intramyocellular lipids which accumulate in an insulin-resistant patient.
Eating foods with lower glycemic index have also been shown to help improve insulin sensitivity and also requires less insulin response from the pancreas when eaten. Huel has an estimated glycemic index around 25 - 30 range, very mild.
Beta-glucans, the fiber in oats, have been shown to help insulin sensitivity in several studies. As such, oat consumption is associated with improvement in type 2 diabetes and reduction of body fat. I think there are also studies on flax seeds that show this, too. Oats and flax are major ingredients in Huel.
Diets high in saturated fat and/or trans fat are associated with insulin resistance. Huel is plant based, so it has zero trans fat and naturally has low levels of saturated fat.
Mild exercise, low added sugar, low saturated fat, no trans fat, high fiber : these are the pathways to weight loss.
Foods that have been specifically shown to reduce weight and improve glycemic control in diabetics: oats, flax, berries (especially blue), avocado, apples.
Hey, go to youtube and search for the guy who lost a ton of weight on an all-potato diet. Also, check this out. I am not trying to get you on an all potato or rice diet. I just wanted to point to some specific examples of people who did some simple diets and got great results. Just trying to expand minds here.
https://www.drmcdougall.com/2013/12/31/walter-kempner-md-founder-of-the-rice-diet/